Assessment of Operational Risks of LNG and FLNG Vessels during Manoeuvring in Bad Weather Conditions
- Nagi Abdussamie (University of Tripoli) | Mohamed Daboos (University of Tripoli) | Shuhong Chai (University of Tasmania)
- Document ID
- International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers
- The Twelfth ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium, 4-7 October, Gold Coast, Australia
- Publication Date
- Document Type
- Conference Paper
- 2016. International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers
- Offshore gas export, hazards during ship manoeuvring, fuzzy logic, floating gas terminals
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- 34 since 2007
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In bad weather conditions, manoeuvring of a liquefied natural gas (LNG) carrier in open sea at floating LNG (FLNG) terminals can be associated with operational risks of potential consequences to human safety, environment and economy. Due to limited knowledge and experience with the FLNG technology, it is difficult to perform risk evaluations. Expert judgments are often employed to analyse and assess LNG risks using the risk matrix technique. However, human behaviour may influence the outcome of risk analyses resulting in an uncertain risk level. To deal with the uncertainty of expert opinions, two fuzzy set approaches are introduced in this paper. The first is a rule-based fuzzy model using Sugeno method for fuzzy inference. The second is a trapezoidal fuzzy set approach "simplified approach". Risk parameters were translated into a number of fuzzy sets, and a fuzzy risk value was calculated for several hazardous scenarios at different phases during ship berthing operations. The calculated fuzzy risk values were found to be consistent with the results of risk matrix technique.
The development of Floating Liquefied Natural Gas (FLNG) terminals is one of the practical and cost-effective solutions to the current challenges in the export of offshore natural gas. However, hazards during manoeuvring LNG carriers in the vicinity of these terminals can have severe impacts on the safety of life, environment and installations, particularly in bad weather. For instance, during berthing tug assistance may be insufficient to pull the LNG carrier into a desired position during such conditions thereby the scenario of collision between the LNG and FLNG vessels is highly expected due to a small proximity between the two vessels (Antao and Soares, 2012).
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