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Abstract
The ideas of open and closed-boundary systems are explored to investigate
the technical limits of storage capacity of subsurface porous media, as
required for the CO2-mitigation technology of carbon capture and
storage (CCS). In particular, the effects of reservoir characteristics as well
as the nature and mix of fluids that originally saturate the porous media are
elucidated. An improved analytic method, premised on the concept of in-situ
fluid displacement and replacement, of estimating the storage capacity of open
systems is proposed and evaluated.
For closed systems, our analyses show that the general order of
attractiveness (technical storage capacity) of potential sites is aquifer <
water-depleted oil < undepleted oil < gas-depleted oil < depleted
gas < undepleted gas formations. However, owing to the complexity of
microscopic and macroscopic events, similar simple conclusion can not be drawn
on the relative attractiveness of various open-boundary sinks.
As a case study, we examine the applicability of CCS in Nigeria. From
first-order estimates of the pore volumes and other reservoir-fluid properties
in Nigeria, we quantify the limits and time-scale of “available” geologic sinks
to accommodate current and future loads of anthropogenic CO2
emissions from the Nigerian fossil-fired power sources.
Due to the relatively poor storage capacity of the potential sites compared
to the anticipated CO2 load from power plants, which is just one of
the CO2 sources, sequestration into underground formations may not,
on its own, be a sustainable technical solution for Nigeria. Additionally, for
the open systems, which define the upper limits of storage capacity, the
potential challenges of managing displaced formation brine (and other less
valuable fluids) may be overwhelming. As a complement, we offer some potential
outlets for CO2 generated from these captive and other sources.
Finally, long-term carbon-mitigation strategies hinged on mixed solutions are
enumerated.
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