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Abstract
This paper documents a data-mining study of well, hydraulic fracture
treatment, and production parameters for horizontal wells in the north Texas
Barnett Shale play. In this study, the authors have analyzed well and
production data from more than 13,400 producing Barnett wells. A subsample of
over 3,300 horizontal wells was characterized with respect to detailed well
architecture data such as drift direction and angle, lateral length,
perforations, etc. The study uses Geographical Information System
pattern-recognition techniques in conjunction with more traditional statistical
techniques to interpret hidden trends in otherwise scattered data sets. This
work provides a case study in the practical use of data-mining techniques to
address questions of best practices in Shale Gas reservoirs. It is made
possible because the availability and quality of public domain well and
production data has increased significantly in the past few years. Simple cross
plotting of production data against well and treatment variables normally leads
to broad scattering of results. This study takes advantage of the largest,
richest well and production data set available from the gas shales and
identifies key lessons-learned. Relevant trends, such as the impact of toe up
versus flat versus toe down, horizontal well length, and drift angle
variability on gas production rate are presented. This work is significant in
that it shows that the application of practical data-mining methods to a large
Shale Gas data set can result in learning key lessons that may not be apparent
when working with small data sets. This work is also significant in the use of
merged reservoir quality proxies, well architecture data, completion data, and
stimulation data, against which production results are placed in geographical
perspective for improved interpretation.
Introduction
Shale reservoir drilling, completion, and stimulation have been the subject
of much discussion in the industry over the past several years and discussion
among industry workers as to what constitutes “best practice” is often
spirited. This paper describes an ongoing effort to use data mining techniques
to deconvolve effects of reservoir quality, well architecture, completion, and
stimulation on well productivity in the Barnett Shale of the Fort Worth Basin,
North Texas. Data sets from available Barnett Shale wells across the basin were
prepared, examined for outliers and other data-quality issues, and analyzed
using geographical information systems (GIS) and statistical techniques.
Pattern recognition is recognized by the authors as an important tool in the
analysis of large, multivariate data sets such as this one, where
non-sympathetic, multi-variable impacts on production outcomes generate complex
relationships that may be well-hidden in the data.
The paper provides an overview of Barnett Shale gas production and then
reports on the analysis of well architecture effects on production results.
Directional surveys from over 3,300 wells are used to characterize lateral
length, azimuth, drift angle, and degree of undulation (porpoising), and to
analyze and interpret impact on well productivity. The study shows that there
are “global” and “local” lessons to be learned across the Barnett. In
particular, it shows that Barnett horizontals become statistically less
efficient as lengths increase beyond about 3,500 – 4,500 feet. The study also
documents that the optimum Barnett drilling azimuth in the play is
approximately 140 or 320 degrees, but cautions the reader that it is important
to study and understand local stress changes and not to blindly drill on a
statistical azimuth. Surprisingly, the study shows that well undulation or
porpoising does not impact productivity in early well life.
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